1/ Here’s a thing.
Forget “trade war” tensions with CHINA.
A low probability, very high magnitude event that would surprise most, send shocks to markets and be top headline globally:
A Crimea -like move by CHINA on Taiwan...
2/ The symbolic “groundwork” has been laid.
The bridge socializing us to natural extension + (re)connection to Hong Kong (finished weeks ago) after Hong Kong’s now 20yr return to China 🇨🇳from Britain🇬🇧.
6/ The odds are very low. But the stakes high.
What global distraction or preoccupation—or what potentially engineered domestic or coastal crisis might cause China to make a move to ‘protect or reclaim’ Taiwan?
What would US reaction be?
What leverage may China use to mute it?
7/ And 6 weeks later...BINGO.
8/ I mean...this is not even like subtle nuance. “Would you like to come up and see my sketches?”
9/ April 2019
You can follow @wolfejosh.
Tip: mention @threader_app on a Twitter thread with the keyword “compile” to get a link to it.
Enjoy Threader? Sign up.
Since you’re here...
... we’re asking visitors like you to make a contribution to support this independent project. In these uncertain times, access to information is vital. Threader gets 1,000,000+ visits a month and our iOS Twitter client was featured as an App of the Day by Apple. Your financial support will help two developers to keep working on this app. Everyone’s contribution, big or small, is so valuable. Support Threader by becoming premium or by donating on PayPal. Thank you.