Overfitting is "the production of an analysis that corresponds too closely or exactly to a particular set of data, and may therefore fail to fit additional data or predict future observations reliably."
You should study startup history, but you should not anchor so closely to today’s heroes and hotshot 🦄 successes that you turn off your brain and blindly overfit. You can follow @garrytan.
The green line is overfit. Aim for the black line.
A cargo cult may produce wooden planes, but these will neither fly, nor magically materialize the gifts desired.
Tip: mention @threader_app on a Twitter thread with the keyword “compile” to get a link to it.
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You should study startup history, but you should not anchor so closely to today’s heroes and hotshot 🦄 successes that you turn off your brain and blindly overfit.
You can follow @garrytan.