Garry() @garrytan Managing Partner, @Initialized. Earliest investor in @coinbase @instacart @flexport & 100+ more—$36B in startup market cap so far. Forbes Midas List 2019 #21 🚀 Jun. 03, 2019 1 min read

Overfitting is "the production of an analysis that corresponds too closely or exactly to a particular set of data, and may therefore fail to fit additional data or predict future observations reliably."

The green line is overfit. Aim for the black line.

You should study startup history, but you should not anchor so closely to today’s heroes and hotshot 🦄 successes that you turn off your brain and blindly overfit.

A cargo cult may produce wooden planes, but these will neither fly, nor magically materialize the gifts desired.

Walk your own line, follow your own truth, write your own story.


You can follow @garrytan.



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