Stephen Wolf @PoliticsWolf @DKElections staff writer covering voting rights, gerrymandering, maps, & poli sci. Get the free Voting Rights Roundup weekly newsletter dkel.ec/votingr Jul. 20, 2019 1 min read

Even after losing control of the House in 2018, Republicans still control a majority of the state congressional delegations thanks to their gerrymanders in FL, NC, & OH, & WI. Each delegation gets 1 vote in this instance, so it'd likely still be a GOP majority after 2020

The practice has been for Congress to count electoral votes on Jan. 6, three days after the new Congress is sworn in, so the 2020 elections would determine which party controls a majority among each state's congressional delegation  https://history.house.gov/Institution/Electoral-College/Electoral-College/ 

However, the chance of Republicans losing their delegation majority in 2020 is slim. Dems would likely have to hold all of their current swing-state seats, flip #MI06, get a redrawn map in NC & win a majority, & flip a seat in Florida & one of #AKAL or #MTAL

In other words, if Democrats are doing well enough to break the GOP's majority of state congressional delegations, they're almost certainly doing well enough that the presidential race won't be a 269-269 Electoral College tie. So 269=a GOP win, period


You can follow @PoliticsWolf.



Bookmark

____
Tip: mention @threader_app on a Twitter thread with the keyword “compile” to get a link to it.

Enjoy Threader? Sign up.

Since you’re here...

... we’re asking visitors like you to make a contribution to support this independent project. In these uncertain times, access to information is vital. Threader gets 1,000,000+ visits a month and our iOS Twitter client was featured as an App of the Day by Apple. Your financial support will help two developers to keep working on this app. Everyone’s contribution, big or small, is so valuable. Support Threader by becoming premium or by donating on PayPal. Thank you.