Seth Abramson @SethAbramson Attorney. @Newsweek columnist. NYT bestselling author of a book on Trump's Iran policy, Proof of Conspiracy (Macmillan, Professor. Oct. 10, 2019 1 min read

It took 21 days for the first arrests of individuals linked to the Trump-Ukraine scandal... where do you think we'll be by the time primary voting starts in 4 months, GOP? For God's sake, read the writing on the wall, and if you can't, talk to a criminal defense attorney who can.

1/ Literally the *first* conversation the feds will have with these two is, "Give us Rudy."


3/ Prosecutorial judgments—whether a prosecution or declination decision—create paper trails and require lead-time. It's not just making a call. If Barr had engineered a timely indictment—which I don't think he did—he'd have created new whistleblowers and incriminating evidence.

4/ So yes, from one standpoint the timing of the indictment is "convenient," but most likely *not* for the reason you think: it's convenient for any prosecutor who wants to authentically prosecute here—and get Rudy—to have full control over these two and cede nothing to Congress.

5/ The indictment also prevented them from fleeing, which many witnesses in the Trump-Russia case (Mifsud, Kilimnik, and some others) have done (with respect to whatever country they're in at the time) when they know a Rubicon has been crossed as to their questioning/prosecution.

6/ So don't be distracted by the fact that this likely ends any chance at Congressional testimony from these two on *any* subject; it's "noise," not "signal," however relevant and suspicious it may seem at the moment. Focus on flight (fleeing) as consciousness of guilt, instead.

7/ That said, *never* forget the corrupt Ukrainian prosecutor Trump/Giuliani wanted to work with let Konstantin Kilimnik—Manafort's Russian intelligence-linked partner—flee Ukraine, and Trump aide Papadopoulos' lies to the FBI allowed Kremlin agent Joseph Mifsud to flee America.

You can follow @SethAbramson.


Tip: mention @threader_app on a Twitter thread with the keyword “compile” to get a link to it.

Enjoy Threader? Sign up.

Threader is an independent project created by only two developers. The site gets 500,000+ visits a month and our iOS Twitter client was featured as an App of the Day by Apple. Running this space is expensive and time consuming. If you find Threader useful, please consider supporting us to make it a sustainable project.