I have a new @FiveThirtyEight piece on the 8 percent of people in our long-running ISCAP panel survey who said in late January that they would back Biden but not Sanders come November:  https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/voters-wholl-support-biden-but-not-sanders-probably-really-do-mean-it/  1/2

Like @dbroockman and @j_kalla and the Voter Study Group, I find that Biden does better than Sanders in a hypothetical general election against Trump with older and higher-income voters.  https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/2/25/21152538/bernie-sanders-electability-president-moderates-data  2/2

I also present evidence from the panel that when people say that they'd back one candidate in a general election but not another from the same party, they often mean it.

Here is support for 4 Dems vs. Trump by partisanship.


You can follow @dhopkins1776.



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