Derek Thompson+ Your Authors @DKThomp Writer at @TheAtlantic. Host of podcast CRAZY/GENIUS. Author of book HIT MAKERS. Talker on NPR's @hereandnow and @CBSNews. derek[at]theatlantic[dot]com Mar. 28, 2020 1 min read + Your Authors

“Cities that ordered social distancing measures later and for shorter period tended to have higher spikes in death and higher overall death rates” 1/3

“Cities that intervened earlier and more aggressively do not perform worse and, if anything, grow faster after the [1918] pandemic is over. Our findings thus indicate that [social distancing] ... mitigates the adverse economic consequences of a pandemic.” 2/2

The clear lesson of the 1918 pandemic is that early and aggressive interventions BOTH saved lives AND set up the economy for a stronger rebound afterwards.

“Save lives or save GDP” is a false choice.

Actually it’s worse. It frames a coherent strategy as some kind of paradox.

Source 1
 https://api.nationalgeographic.com/distribution/public/amp/history/2020/03/how-cities-flattened-curve-1918-spanish-flu-pandemic-coronavirus 

Source 2
 https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3561560 


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