Note: This thread is related to #Coronavirus #COVID19

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[email protected]+ Your Authors @Jason angel: @uber @thumbtack @wealthfront @datastax @robinhoodapp @desktopmetal @calm @launch Mar. 30, 2020 1 min read + Your Authors

Sticking with my prediction for #coronavirus timeline... adding more predictions:

1. by April 15th: Bay Area goes back to work, restaurants open w/discussed measures (testing, temperatures taken, masks)

2. by May 1:LA follows

3. by May 15: NYC follows

we learn to manage CV

4. Startups, restaurants & big cos that were vulnerable shutter (i.e. too much debt, bad margins, bad management)

5. unemployment stimulus gives individuals 100% of their salary for 12+ months--the poor are NOT impacted financially this time! HUGE WIN

6. We find a cure in Q4!

7. Stock market digests all of this in Q2 and the bifurcation occurs: intelligent money goes all in on best-run companies (Disney, Amazon, Facebook, etc.) & out of challenging ones (retail, energy)

stock market...

8. My % chance of what happens to markets -- and I'm no expert -- but here we go:

a) 40% chance we are at this level +/- 15%
b) 40% chance we go right back to record highs
c) 20% chance we get a stimulus BUMP and break records

9. election: Trump's chances of winning are IMPROVED because of CV: "We beat it people... we beat it because of my team & my decision to close our borders... how much do we love our borders? We love those borders, so very, very much"

60% chance Trump, 35% Biden--5% wildcard

10. by 2021, because we took drastic measures to self-isolate & stimulate EVERY part of the economy, people get complacent--some start making jokes about CV.... calling it #Y2Corona (hashtag trends)

11. 2023: China re-opens wet markets, no one notices. the big one hits... we're ready this time but it has a 30% fatality rate & doesn't just impact older/weak folks--the world really has to shut down

Millions die, humanity survives.. we learn, we take global warming seriously

Note: I REALLY don't care if you don't like speculation... I do, and my gambling, investing & risk-taking followers and friends love to think about these things.

if you reply and say "this just speculation!!" congrats, you're officially Captain Obvious

You can follow @Jason.


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