Note: This thread is related to #Coronavirus #COVID19

Follow the World Health Organization's instructions to reduce your risk of infection:

1/ Frequently clean hands by using alcohol-based hand rub or soap and water.

2/ When coughing and sneezing cover mouth and nose with flexed elbow or tissue - throw issue away immediately and wash hands.

3/ Avoid close contact with anyone that has fever and cough.

Steven Sinofsky+ Your Authors @stevesi ॐ • investing • advising • writing • with @a16z @boxhq @tanium @everlaw… • Writings @ • 📷•🧘🏻‍♂️• tweets kept for 90 days Apr. 30, 2020 1 min read + Your Authors

Coronavirus antibody tests have "really terrible" accuracy, researcher says  // There's no doubt FDA, CDC, NIH, FEMA all messed up in January/February. Fast tracking 100 "tests" created a worse situation as efforts weren't coordinated, focused, or reliable.

Detailed study testing the tests which showed among the poor results:
1 test > 15% false +
3 tests > 10% false +
5 tests ~ 5% false +
only 3 < 1% false +

(noting a 1% false + rate leads to a coin toss level reliability) 

The absence of regulation can create a situation where we are operating with a level of chaos and unreliability across a system that can take much longer to rectify than if efforts were corrected and managed. Yes that's an IF, but this chaos was not an "if" as it was certain too.

Unreliability of antibody test is only amplified by the lack of understanding of what a + antibody even means. The experts have little clarity yet on that question.

This combination weakens the next steps of opening because testing has been established as the requirement. //

You can follow @stevesi.


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