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#TestAndTrace Smith 🐇+ Your Authors @Noahpinion Bloomberg Opinion writer. Writes about economics, tweets about rabbits. Doesn't actually look like William Butler Yeats. May. 21, 2020 3 min read + Your Authors

1/Today's @bopinion post is about the Cold War, and how we won it.

And why as of right now, we're not equipped to win another one.

 https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-05-21/u-s-economy-may-not-help-win-a-cold-war-with-china?sref=R8NfLgwS 

2/How did the U.S. win Cold War 1 against the USSR?

We never went to war with them. Our loss in Vietnam matched theirs in Afghanistan. We didn't win by force of arms, period.

We won by having a BETTER SYSTEM.

3/In 1959, Nixon was able to brag that the U.S. was much wealthier than the USSR. It was true!

 https://teachingamericanhistory.org/library/document/the-kitchen-debate/ 

4/The U.S. started out richer than the USSR. But in the 70s and 80s, the Soviet system fell further and further behind. It failed at manufacturing and services and became a petrostate.

 https://www.amazon.com/Collapse-Empire-Lessons-Modern-Russia/dp/0815731140 

5/But it wasn't just that the Soviet system failed.

It was that the U.S. system DIDN'T fail.

While they stagnated, we kept getting richer. And by "we", I mean "the vast majority of Americans".

How did we do that?

6/We didn't succeed by having a low-tax, laissez-faire system.

Instead, we had quite high taxes in the mid-century. And we used the tax money to make investments that powered our prosperity for decades.

Like the magnificent interstate highway system!

 https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monographs/2011/RAND_MG1049.pdf 

7/And we spent money on science. We built the best research system in the world -- a vast and well-funded network of labs and universities that drew in the best and brightest from all over the world.

 https://www.amazon.com/Jump-Starting-America-Breakthrough-Economic-American/dp/1541762487 

That allowed us to pull little stunts like this one:

8/And in addition to pulling in the best and brightest, we beefed up our own education system, especially in STEM.

 https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1104&context=younghistorians 

9/But what would all that have mattered if poor and disadvantaged Americans had been left behind?

Another way we proved that our system was better was by uplifting the poor.

 https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-12-13/lbj-s-great-society-won-the-war-on-poverty 

10/Reducing the glaring economic and racial gaps of the early 20th century was a key way in which the United States proved that our system was better.

Had we not done this, the USSR could always have claimed that American prosperity was a sham, reserved for the few.

11/America also proved that our system worked in other ways.

We battled and defeated the scourge of polio.

 https://www.cdc.gov/polio/what-is-polio/polio-us.html 

12/We stopped the 1957 flu pandemic in its tracks.

 https://www.history.com/news/1957-flu-pandemic-vaccine-hilleman 

13/In so many ways, big and small, the U.S. proved that it had a system that worked. A system that created broadly shared prosperity and pushed the boundaries of technology, and was capable of defending against natural threats.

THAT is why we won the Cold War.

14/But now we may be entering Cold War 2.

Are we prepared to win this one the same way we won the last one?

No. We are not.

 https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-05-05/coronavirus-can-a-broke-u-s-fight-a-cold-war-with-china 

15/Big government investments have not kept pace.

16/Spiraling construction costs threaten our infrastructure.

Could we even build the Interstates today?

 https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-07-26/u-s-infrastructure-construction-costs-pose-threat-to-economy?sref=R8NfLgwS 

17/Our government is investing less and less in research.

18/Our math education is subpar.

 https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-12-12/u-s-schools-do-fine-in-international-rankings-except-in-math 

19/Our inequality is shameful.

20/Our workers lead precarious, unstable lives.

 https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-11-26/poverty-in-america-greater-than-statistics-indicate 

21/Our racial economic gaps, which shrank in the 50s and 60s, have stopped shrinking.

 https://www.epi.org/blog/stark-black-white-divide-in-wages-is-widening-further/ 

22/And coronavirus has exposed just how weak our public health institutions are, as well as demonstrating the poor quality of our leadership.

 https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-03-29/coronavirus-makes-america-seem-like-a-civilization-in-decline 

23/In sum, we are NOT prepared to win a Cold War against China right now.

To win that contest, it's not enough to sit around and hope China's system does badly. OUR SYSTEM MUST DO WELL.

And it's not doing well right now.

We need to change that.

(end)

 https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-05-21/u-s-economy-may-not-help-win-a-cold-war-with-china 


You can follow @Noahpinion.



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