Note: This thread is related to #COVID19.

Follow the World Health Organization's instructions to reduce your risk of infection. Avoid the three Cs: Crowded places, Close Contact Settings & Confined spaces. Airborne aerosols play an important role in transmitting COVID-19.

- Avoid crowded places and limit time in enclosed spaces

- Apply social distance

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John Burn-Murdoch
+ Your AuthorsArchive @jburnmurdoch Stories, stats & scatterplots for @FinancialTimes | Daily updates of the coronavirus trajectory tracker | [email protected] | #dataviz Jun. 10, 2020 2 min read

NEW: we’ve updated our excess mortality tracker, the best measure for international comparisons of Covid deaths

• UK had 64,000 more deaths than usual to May 29, highest excess death rate globally
• US hit 100k a month ago
• Added Brazil

Free to read: 

Here are all countries’ excess deaths according to different metrics:
• Population-adjusted rate
• Raw numbers
• % of historical baseline

Here’s our data for hardest hit cities & regions worldwide.

Top row is all Latin America, which is now the undoubted global epicentre of the virus. Mortality has soared in the major cities of Ecuador, Brazil, Peru and Chile.

Jakarta also still showing signs of elevated deaths.

Nationally, US hit 100k excess deaths by May 9, 26% higher than the 73k Covid deaths reported at the time.

Now showing 44 US states + DC. Will add other states as data arrives.

Urban North East has seen bulk of US excess deaths, but most areas now showing elevated mortality.

Overall across the 24 countries where we have excess mortality data, we find 377,000 excess deaths during outbreaks.

This is 53% higher than the number of Covid deaths reported in these countries at the time.

You can freely access all our raw data here: 

UK has suffered one of worst outbreaks anywhere

Deaths have been:
• 61% higher than usual in England
• +49% in Scotland
• +37% in Northern Ireland
• +36% in Wales

9/12 regions have excess deaths near or above 50%

Bad outbreaks in many regions suggest action taken too late.

Here’s the same for Spanish regions.

Many parts of Spain had severe outbreaks. Two saw deaths more than double, and a total of 7/19 saw at least a 50% spike.

Nonetheless, the data suggest the worst of Spain’s outbreak was contained in fewer regions than the UK’s.

Here’s France, where Paris suffered badly, and Grand Est region also faced a big outbreak, but although most other areas were affected none saw all-cause deaths increase by 50% or more.

In other words, worst of French outbreak was contained in much fewer areas than UK outbreak.

Finally Italian regions, now with fresh data

Lombardy hit v hard, and 5 other northern regions saw excess deaths of 50%+, but in most regions numbers were relatively muted, including Lazio (contains Rome)

For whatever reason, UK’s outbreak spread further than in peer countries

We’re still looking for more all-cause deaths data, where India is now our top target, but any country is appreciated.

Ideally daily, weekly or monthly data, for multiple years, and including 2020. Can be for one town or city, not just nationally

📦➡ [email protected] 🙏

You can follow @jburnmurdoch.


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