Note: This thread is related to #Coronavirus #COVID19

Follow the World Health Organization's instructions to reduce your risk of infection:

1/ Frequently clean hands by using alcohol-based hand rub or soap and water.

2/ When coughing and sneezing cover mouth and nose with flexed elbow or tissue - throw issue away immediately and wash hands.

3/ Avoid close contact with anyone that has fever and cough.

Devi Sridhar+ Your Authors @devisridhar Professor & Chair of Global Public Health, @EdinburghUni Medical School. Director of @GlobalHealthGP. Health governance, financing, policy, systems & security. Jul. 07, 2020 1 min read + Your Authors

Keep being asked why in 2018 I mentioned a jump of virus/bacteria from an animal to humans in China as biggest 'threat' to world & how global health experts knew how COVID would unfold in late Jan. No crystal ball. Just look at data, analyse it, study patterns. It's all there.

Same thing happening now across the world. Since Jan, our team has been studying carefully how different countries have handled COVID, their policies & decisions, & what governments did well & badly. Observational studies in real-time --> use this to see where things are heading.

In March, countries ignored China, Taiwan, Hong Kong and South Korea's experience & decided to take a gamble on their own path. I tried to warn then about this: 

And highlight the large gamble through not taking the tried & tested public health approach given large uncertainty over immunity & over health impact. Buying time was the message to figure out how best to handle this virus. 

After everything we've learned- there are few ways this pandemic can play out. Some rely on hope: mutation to milder version, cross-immunity or wider immunity than antibody tests showing- but no evidence yet. Best strategy is to suppress and eliminate. 

You can follow @devisridhar.


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