Note: This thread is related to #Coronavirus #COVID19

Follow the World Health Organization's instructions to reduce your risk of infection:

1/ Frequently clean hands by using alcohol-based hand rub or soap and water.

2/ When coughing and sneezing cover mouth and nose with flexed elbow or tissue - throw issue away immediately and wash hands.

3/ Avoid close contact with anyone that has fever and cough.

Last night I looked at the Covid mortality curve for each state and grouped them into four categories:

23 states are following a Gompertz function, with deaths peaking early and now declining to near zero. These are mostly located in the northeast and midwest. These states are likely past their Covid season.

16 states never had any significant deaths. These are mostly rural states in the West (plus Hawaii). Given density, these states are unlikely to ever face an outbreak.

9 states have shown a slow, steady rate of death from Covid, which looks to be ending from the CDC data but it too early to tell.

Finally, three states bear watching: California, Texas, and Arizona. CDC data would indicate a slow decline but reported deaths are increasing rapidly. The could be entering their Gompertz phase, they could be importing deaths from Mexico, or it could be backdating.

By the way, here's what those graphs look like when you put them on the same scale. Kinda puts things into perspective, doesn't it?

You can follow @Humble_Analysis.


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