John Burn-Murdoch
+ Your AuthorsArchive @jburnmurdoch Stories, stats & scatterplots for @FinancialTimes | Daily updates of the coronavirus trajectory tracker | [email protected] | #dataviz Aug. 03, 2020 1 min read

NEW: I’ve updated the chart of new cases in England & Wales to show two critical parts of the story:
• Differentiating between places with an isolated cluster (Swindon’s Iceland depot) vs community spread
• Showing where Leicester was when it locked down 

By incorporating that crucial detail of isolated cluster vs community spread, the data and chart better reflect PHE’s own "watchlist" of local areas (see here )

They also show why Liverpool and Swindon were exempt from the blanket lockdowns.

And by adding Leicester at lockdown for context, we can show what @robertcuffe explained so concisely last week:

With the new restrictions in the NW, govt is acting *earlier* than they did in Leicester, but is also acting more *lightly* than it did there

Hope this adds more of the nuance around the story:
• The resurgence is concerning
• But each outbreak is different, some riskier than others even if numbers look the same
• Action being taken earlier. New restrictions don’t mean new Leicester, they’re to prevent new Leicester

You can follow @jburnmurdoch.


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