Christopher Miller+ Your Authors @ChristopherJM Correspondent covering Ukraine & beyond for @BuzzFeedNews. Also seen in @RFERL @POLITICOEurope @ViceNews @Guardian. Send tips to christo[email protected] Aug. 15, 2020 1 min read + Your Authors

Backed into a corner as his regime collapses, Lukashenko says he’s considering asking Putin for help, because the popular uprising against him is “a threat not only to Belarus, but to the entire post-Soviet world.” Will Putin respond? Watch this space.

Well that was quick. Lukashenko and Putin have spoken by phone, says state-run @beltanews.  https://www.belta.by/president/view/sostojalsja-telefonnyj-razgovor-lukashenko-s-putinym-402942-2020/ 

Belarusian readout says only that Lukashenko and Putin discussed the current situation in the country; no telling details. Still unclear what Lukashenko wants Putin to do — send in the troops? — and what Putin would be willing to do for him. This situation ain't Ukraine 2014...

Right. Keep this in mind.

Unlike Ukrainians on Maidan, Belarusians are against their prez but not against Russia. Tikhanovskaya & opposition aren't looking for EU membership; they'd prob be fine with foreign policy status quo. And Putin would prob be OK working with someone who'd ensure it stays that way.

It's been brought up by others in recent days but I'll repeat it here: Considering the particulars, this is more like the Armenian scenario than the Ukrainian one.


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