Mike Shellenberger+ Your Authors @ShellenbergerMD Best-selling author, “Apocalypse Never” : Time “Hero of Environment” : Green Book Award : Pres., Environmental Progress : Invited IPCC Expert : MD = my initials Aug. 27, 2020 1 min read + Your Authors

Hurricanes not becoming more frequent

Deaths from disasters are at an all-time low

Higher cost of disasters is due to greater wealth, not worse weather

No science for claims that climate will increase disaster deaths

My latest @Forbes — please share!


Just 2,900 people lost their lives in natural disasters in the first half of 2020

That's far fewer than the average for same period during last 30 years or last 10 years

That's on top of a 92% decline in the decadal death toll from natural disasters since its peak in the 1920s

There's been no increase in the frequency of hurricanes

And the US government’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts the max. intensity of Atlantic hurricanes and tropical storms will rise 5% in the 21st Century, but their frequency will decline 25%

“Hurricanes in the future may be more intense than today’s hurricanes,” said @RogerPielkeJr “but in the context of a 90% reduction in vulnerability, our disaster preparedness dwarfs the change in whatever your favorite hurricane metric is.”

You can follow @ShellenbergerMD.


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