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Note: This thread is related to #COVID19.

Follow the World Health Organization's instructions to reduce your risk of infection. Avoid the three Cs: Crowded places, Close Contact Settings & Confined spaces. Airborne aerosols play an important role in transmitting COVID-19.

- Avoid crowded places and limit time in enclosed spaces

- Apply social distance

- Air rooms by opening windows & doors

- Keep hands and surfaces clean, cover coughs & sneezes

- Wear a mask when you are not at home or when physical distancing is not possible

Michael
+ Your AuthorsArchive @michaeltefula tech, finance, and education enthusiast | team @diversityvc | my latest book available in link below | views my own Oct. 12, 2020 1 min read

1/ COVID-19 infection fatality ratio (risk of death if infected) for ages 0-34 yrs is 2 times the annual risk of death from a car accident (0.004% vs. 0.002%). Other age groups below.

0-34: 2x
35-44: 34x
45-54: 115x
55-64: 250x
65-74: 833x
75-84: 1,700x
85+: 4,043x

2/ Data is from a preprint paper published here  https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v6 

A major limitation pointed out by the authors is that this only looks at age. But other factors such as existing health issues (e.g. diabetes, obesity) & quality of healthcare clearly also play a role.

3/ Additional estimates here for the IFR and CFR globally  https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/ 

4/ Current data shows the risk of death goes up exponentially with age, yet our thinking has been somewhat linear in dealing with all this. There's lots of people on either extremes of the debate but is there a more nuanced way of looking at things?  https://www.ft.com/content/0143a8b8-d32b-46e0-bd84-f152bb9df2d7 

5/ Given the non-linear link between age and risk, as well as other power law like aspects on how the virus spreads, a call for more non-linear thinking would go far. This brilliant article from @zeynep is great addition to the discussion. 👇🏾  https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/k-overlooked-variable-driving-pandemic/616548/ 


You can follow @michaeltefula.



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